The Prediction Reactor
You are here · Protocol 02
Shift briefing · Forecast Reactor
The reactor predicts which cooling line will fail next. A high score is not certainty, and the sensor conditions are changing. Keep the cooling system within safe limits while learning how predictions behave.
Read before the shift. It tells you what is at stake, never how to do it.
What you practise
Understand that model outputs are predictions with uncertainty, not guaranteed facts.
- Probability
- prediction
- distribution shift
- decision threshold
Discover Find what is really going on before acting on it.
The facility for this shift
3 rooms, 4 stations, two hands.
- 01Control RoomForecast console
- 02Sensor GallerySensor rack
- 03Valve HallThreshold wheel · Cooling valves
Compromised Signal · sealed
Something in this shift will change, and the briefing will not tell you what. You find it from the evidence, or your after-action review shows you where it was.
How the shift is assessed
3 criteria · 0 to 6
Scored from what you did: the evidence you checked, the stations you operated, the artifacts you produced and the gates you passed. The criteria are revealed in your after-action review, not before.
Capabilities evidenced
- ReasonModels dependencies, constraints, causal paths, and trade-offs.In 22 of 48
- JudgmentChooses proportionate actions and knows when to verify, abstain, or escalate.In 27 of 48
- ReliabilityTests, reproduces, validates, recovers, and produces consistent outcomes.In 39 of 48
Chamber I · The Tool
Know what a tool can be trusted with, and check before you rely on it.
Understand AI tools, evidence, context, prompt construction, modality, oversight, privacy and tool choice.
Play Protocol 02 in first person, with the clock running.